A balanced, cautionary budget built on stronger revenues
The
Governor’s proposal outlines a $348.9 billion balanced budget for the
2026-27 fiscal year supported by stronger-than-anticipated cash
receipts, resilient financial markets, and an estimated improved
economic outlook. The plan reflects more than $42 billion in additional
General Fund revenue over the three-year budget window (2024-25 through
2026-27) compared to last year’s enacted budget, resulting in a modest
projected deficit of $2.9 billion that is solved. Our solutions did not
account for strong December revenues of nearly $3 billion above the
previous forecast, that are not yet factored into the budget
proposal.
Despite
the better-than-expected revenues, this budget reflects a cautionary
approach to spending in anticipation of future headwinds. California
enters the 2026-27 fiscal year with $23 billion in total reserves,
including $14.4 billion in California’s Rainy Day Fund. Recognizing the
very real risks of out-year deficits, rather
than overextending new commitments, the budget prioritizes
implementation of existing investments, fiscal restraint, and long-term
planning. This is all exacerbated by federal policy changes and global
uncertainty, accounting for unpredictable
and tumultuous federal policies, tariffs and immigration and their
potential impact on inflation, the labor market, investment, and
overall demand.
Fiscal discipline, accountability with taxpayer funds
Building
on efforts that have blocked fraud and waste, the budget proposes
continued programs and measures to strengthen oversight, enforcement,
and safeguards to protect taxpayers. It also proposes reductions in
state operations spending totaling $1.55 billion, paired with continued
savings from eliminating approximately 6,000 long-vacant positions,
generating $1.2 billion in savings over two years.
The budget continues California’s focus on efficiency, accountability, and cost controls:
- Improving TK–12 governance and accountability: Proposes a new education
governance structure by moving the California Department of Education
under the Executive Branch and strengthening the State Superintendent’s
ability to align policy from early childhood through higher education —
improving coordination, clarity, and accountability across the system.
- Housing and homelessness agency framework: The
Governor’s Reorganization Plan from 2025 establishes a dedicated
housing and homelessness agency to oversee the coordination,
accountability, and effective program delivery across state programs.
The Budget advances that framework by supporting programmatic
consolidations, streamlined processes, and stronger alignment among the
state’s major housing programs to improve efficiency and maximize the
impact of available resources.
- Homelessness funding and accountability measures: The
state continues to deploy significant resources to prevent homelessness
through the Homeless Housing, Assistance, and Prevention. This includes
a seventh year of this funding to be allocated in 2026-27 totaling $500
million. This funding is contingent on enhanced accountability and
performance requirements.
Refilling the Rainy Day Fund
The
Governor’s budget adds billions to the Rainy Day Fund and aggressively
pays down long-term pension obligations, strengthening California’s
fiscal resilience amid ongoing economic volatility:
- Restocking our reserves:
As California’s population and economy continue to grow, the budget
proposes rebuilding reserves – totaling $23 billion – including a $3
billion deposit into the Rainy Day Fund, which has been a key component
of budget resiliency, a buffer against revenue volatility, and an
insurance policy that has protected core state programs.
- Addressing our obligations:
Mindful of the erratic nature of our state budget revenues, the budget
proposes an investment in our long-term future by paying down our
pension obligations to the tune of $11.8 billion over the next four
years, including $3 billion alone in next year’s budget.
Historic spending on students
Education
remains the cornerstone of the budget, with record per-pupil funding of
$27,418, a 61% increase since 2018, while preserving long-term
affordability and fiscal balance. It proposes to continue funding for:
- Pre-K for All:
Proposes fully funding the whole new school grade – universal access to
free transitional kindergarten for more than 400,000 four-year-olds,
with increased access to the California State Preschool Program for
two-, three-, and four-year-olds.
- Community Schools:
Proposes a $1 billion expansion of the community schools model, a
whole-child approach that focuses on school engagement with families
and community organizations, shared decision making, and coordination
of services. The first cohort of schools that benefited from this
investment are showing significant reductions in chronic absenteeism,
reduced suspensions, and improved test scores and academic achievement,
with the largest gains for historically underserved students.
- Before, After, and Summer School Programs: Proposes fully funding free before, after, and summer school for families.
- Universal School Meals: Proposes funding access to two high-quality, free school meals per school day for every TK-12th grade student.
- Improving Literacy for All Students:
Proposes fulling funding the continued implementation of the Golden
State Literacy Plan, reaching 2.6 million TK–5 students statewide and
supporting more than 800 high-need elementary schools with literacy
coaches and specialists. The proposal also maintains annual statewide
screening for all K–2nd grade students to identify reading challenges,
including dyslexia, and deliver early, evidence-based supports.
- Expanding college and career pathways: Proposes
new funding to help high school students earn college credit and
explore career pathways earlier — including expanding dual enrollment
and dual credit programs — while prioritizing these opportunities
through existing student support funding.
- L.A. County school fire recovery: Proposes new funding to support LEAs that are continuing to recover from the January 2025 Los Angeles County fires.
- Strengthening higher education and affordability: Proposes
historic investments across higher education, $5.3 billion for the
University of California, $5.6 billion for the California State
University, and $15.4 billion for the California Community Colleges —
each representing nearly 50% growth or more since 2018–19. These
supports are paying off: 65% of UC and CSU students graduated without
student loan debt in 2023-24; significantly more than in 2018-19.
Supporting communities
- Affordable housing: Proposes
new affordable housing through Cap-and-Invest auction proceeds,
administered by the Housing Development and Finance Committee as part
of the Administration’s modernization of the Affordable Housing and
Sustainable Communities Program.
- Reproductive health care grants: Proposes new funding for grants to reproductive health care providers, strengthening access to care statewide.
- Public safety: The
Governor’s 2026–27 budget proposes $194.6 million in new public safety
investments, bringing California’s total commitment since 2021–22 to
$2.1 billion to strengthen law enforcement, prevent crime, and keep
communities safe. These new investments build on strategies that are
already delivering results. New data show
crime declining nearly across the board statewide, including an 18%
drop in homicides, an 18% reduction in robberies, and a 9% decrease in
aggravated assaults year over year. Violent crime declined in every
California jurisdiction reporting data, with the largest reductions in
Oakland (25%) and San Francisco (21%).
Protecting Californians in a hotter, drier world
- Zero-emission vehicle incentives: Proposes a new light-duty ZEV incentive program to help keep clean vehicles affordable and accessible for Californians.
- Safe drinking water: Proposes
more support for drinking water and wastewater projects serving small,
disadvantaged, and tribal communities — addressing failing or at-risk
systems, unsafe private wells, and connecting unsewered homes to
centralized systems.
- Wildfire and forest resilience: Proposes even more critical wildfire and forest resilience efforts, including supporting Cal FIRE aerial firefighting capacity.
Instability in Washington, D.C.
The Trump
Administration signed into law significant federal policy changes for
Health and Human Services programs that translate into an additional
cost of $1.4 billion for California. Of this amount, $1.1 billion are
in Medi-Cal, which provides basic health care services for more than 14
million low-income Californians. In addition, this federal change adds
nearly $300 million in costs to CalFresh, the state’s program providing food assistance for more than 3 million California households.
The full text of the Governor’s Budget summary document is available at ebudget.ca.gov
$Dollar$ numbers at ebudget.ca.gov.